rockin'robin
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As we prepare for the upcoming 2009 Pacific and Atlantic Hurricane Season, here is selection of blogs written by our own hurricane and wave expert, Dr. Steve Lyons.
2009 Hurricane Season Forecasts: TWC hurricane and wave expert, Dr. Steve Lyons, provides us with a perspective on the early forecasts for 2009 and how one might interpret them. -- "If I could tell you with 100% certainty a hurricane will strike your coast on September 10, 2009, would you do anything between now and then? Obviously no one can make such a forecast with any skill. So you should be ready, ready just as well every year for a potential hurricane strike. Eventually one will come to your coast, it could be in 2009 or it may be 100 years from now, but the potential for great disaster requires you to be ready just like when you put on your car seat belt each time you start your car, never expecting to get in a crash."
2009 Tropical Names:.......Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Erika, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Joaquin, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor and Wanda.
2009 listing of Atlantic basin storm names. They are maintained and updated by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization. Six lists are used in rotation. The only time that there is a change in the list is if a storm is so deadly or costly that the future use of its name on a different storm would be inappropriate for reasons of sensitivity.
Five Toes of the Hurricane Footprint: Dr. Lyons writes about his frustration pertaining to the limitations of the Saffir-Simpson scale. --
"What seems to be confusing everyone these days is that many news groups portray the damage footprint using only the Saffir/Simpson hurricane category, probably because it is simple and all broadcasters can talk about a number from 1 to 5, and probably because they do not have models to forecast each toe of the hurricane land footprint. It turns out that hurricane rainfall, hurricane coastal wave heights, hurricane related tornadoes, and hurricane 'WATER RISE' are each very poorly related to the Saffir/Simpson scale and to each other. The Saffir/Simpson scale was originally intended to be a wind damage scale and nothing more!"
2009 listing of Atlantic basin storm names. They are maintained and updated by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization. Six lists are used in rotation. The only time that there is a change in the list is if a storm is so deadly or costly that the future use of its name on a different storm would be inappropriate for reasons of sensitivity.
Five Toes of the Hurricane Footprint: Dr. Lyons writes about his frustration pertaining to the limitations of the Saffir-Simpson scale. --
"What seems to be confusing everyone these days is that many news groups portray the damage footprint using only the Saffir/Simpson hurricane category, probably because it is simple and all broadcasters can talk about a number from 1 to 5, and probably because they do not have models to forecast each toe of the hurricane land footprint. It turns out that hurricane rainfall, hurricane coastal wave heights, hurricane related tornadoes, and hurricane 'WATER RISE' are each very poorly related to the Saffir/Simpson scale and to each other. The Saffir/Simpson scale was originally intended to be a wind damage scale and nothing more!"
The approaching 2009 hurricane season
2009 Hurricane Season Forecasts: TWC hurricane and wave expert, Dr. Steve Lyons, provides us with a perspective on the early forecasts for 2009 and how one might interpret them. -- "If I could tell you with 100% certainty a hurricane will strike your coast on September 10, 2009, would you do anything between now and then? Obviously no one can make such a forecast with any skill. So you should be ready, ready just as well every year for a potential hurricane strike. Eventually one will come to your coast, it could be in 2009 or it may be 100 years from now, but the potential for great disaster requires you to be ready just like when you put on your car seat belt each time you start your car, never expecting to get in a crash."
2009 Tropical Names:.......Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Erika, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Joaquin, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor and Wanda.
2009 listing of Atlantic basin storm names. They are maintained and updated by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization. Six lists are used in rotation. The only time that there is a change in the list is if a storm is so deadly or costly that the future use of its name on a different storm would be inappropriate for reasons of sensitivity.
Five Toes of the Hurricane Footprint: Dr. Lyons writes about his frustration pertaining to the limitations of the Saffir-Simpson scale. --
"What seems to be confusing everyone these days is that many news groups portray the damage footprint using only the Saffir/Simpson hurricane category, probably because it is simple and all broadcasters can talk about a number from 1 to 5, and probably because they do not have models to forecast each toe of the hurricane land footprint. It turns out that hurricane rainfall, hurricane coastal wave heights, hurricane related tornadoes, and hurricane 'WATER RISE' are each very poorly related to the Saffir/Simpson scale and to each other. The Saffir/Simpson scale was originally intended to be a wind damage scale and nothing more!"
2009 listing of Atlantic basin storm names. They are maintained and updated by an international committee of the World Meteorological Organization. Six lists are used in rotation. The only time that there is a change in the list is if a storm is so deadly or costly that the future use of its name on a different storm would be inappropriate for reasons of sensitivity.
Five Toes of the Hurricane Footprint: Dr. Lyons writes about his frustration pertaining to the limitations of the Saffir-Simpson scale. --
"What seems to be confusing everyone these days is that many news groups portray the damage footprint using only the Saffir/Simpson hurricane category, probably because it is simple and all broadcasters can talk about a number from 1 to 5, and probably because they do not have models to forecast each toe of the hurricane land footprint. It turns out that hurricane rainfall, hurricane coastal wave heights, hurricane related tornadoes, and hurricane 'WATER RISE' are each very poorly related to the Saffir/Simpson scale and to each other. The Saffir/Simpson scale was originally intended to be a wind damage scale and nothing more!"
The approaching 2009 hurricane season
