I predict deaf population will be smaller.

sequoias said:
Yep, technology is advancing faster than he predicted. It said in 2029 that the $1,000 personal computer would be 1,000 more powerful than the human brain. We'll see. *teeth chattering*
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Yeah, but that's technology. What does technology have to do with curing a disabilty?
 
deafdyke said:
Yeah, but that's technology. What does technology have to do with curing a disabilty?
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It drastically lowers the cost of medical research as well as vastly expanding the processing power of research.

Research can be completed faster at a cheaper rate. This means that medical advances can arrive much quicker... and quicker still.
 
Wirelessly posted (sent from a smartphone. )

DeafBadger said:
deafdyke said:
Yeah, but that's technology. What does technology have to do with curing a disabilty?
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It drastically lowers the cost of medical research as well as vastly expanding the processing power of research.

Research can be completed faster at a cheaper rate. This means that medical advances can arrive much quicker... and quicker still.
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Yeah that makes sense. Faster computers and available technology will help a lot but the computers who are powerful than us is just scary lol. Smartphones will be probably more powerful than the current computers by 2015 or so.
 
I agree with this, but I believe this will happen within the next 20 years. However, people will not take advantage of it immediately. I don't believe you will see a decline until after 20 years in population.

We have already found a cure for Leukemia through genetic engineering so I believe you are going to see a cure much sooner depending on the type of hearing loss.

The Standford study, to bring back hair cells in the ear, is also a promising solution.
 
Make sense...

•*few states are start to cut deaf school.
• parents still don't understand about deaf thing
• cuz hearing still look at deaf as excuse lazy-ass
• robot are slow take over human begin. oh no!!!
 
I still don't believe that deafness is on its way out. For one thing, science still has NO idea why a lot of disabilties happen. Even today!!!
 
I think we will see Hair cell regeneration by 2020. I think we are very close now.
 
It's easy to predict that something will happen.

It's hard to predict when something will happen.

Yes, all of these things shall come to pass. I just don't know how long the wait will be.
 
netrox said:
This should help illustrate why I think it will start to happen within 40 years:

The Age of Spiritual Machines - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

And remember, virtually all of Kurzweil's predictions came true. He predicted CI's will be widely used in 2019 but I think he's predicting that too late. It already is.

He predicts that books, audio, and videos will be all digital downloads.. it's already happening. He predicts war to be mostly unmanned and it's happening with our drones. He predicts online learning... already happening... predicts text generation with speech recognition... we got Google to put captions... it only gets better over time.

And here's the thing... by 2020, a $1000 personal computer will have as much power processing as a human brain! He predicts that cars will be automated and it will happen with Google's experimental self-driving cars that prove to be extremely accurate and so far, when unmanned, no accidents.

He predicts that nanotechnology will become practical by 2019 but I think it will happen sooner.

Remember, it was just 10 years ago when it took 36 months (three years) to decode human genome costing millions of dollars. Now it can be done with less than 50,000 dollars. And in 5 years, it should be just $500.
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While I like reading up on predictions of future technology, I have noticed that it has a mixed record. I remember reading 1950s of how we'd have flying cars.. While I think it's proable that we could have self driving cars and we could see practical uses of nanotechnology in the near future, I have to say that I'm a bit skeptical about bloodless wars. Who's to say that the like of a blood thirsty monster won't rise again (Stalin, Hilter, Pol Pot among others)? There have been such leaders who have no regard for the well being of other people in the past and I have no doubt there will be such people in the future. That said, it's possible that future atrocities may not be committed on a scale as massive as World War 2 and the 1930s in Russia due to evolving technologies.
 
Cure deafness????

Oh please.. so far, they can't even cure common cold...


Fuzzy
 
The measles outbreak in the 60s did contribute to the boom in the deaf population.

Nowadays...many extremely premature babies arebeing saved so there could be another boom in the population but could be more deaf with additional needs.
 
shel90 said:
The measles outbreak in the 60s did contribute to the boom in the deaf population.

Nowadays...many extremely premature babies arebeing saved so there could be another boom in the population but could be more deaf with additional needs.
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Yeah. I'm one of those babies..
 
When the CI first came out, I was sure that by the time i turned 45 there would be no younger deaf people and that We would age into nothingness. Well, I will turn 45 next month and I still see younger deaf and I have a CI.
 
DeafBadger said:
I generally agree that as medical science improves, d/hh will decrease. I'm not sure of the time scale though. If you would say 100 years from now, I'm more inclined to agree.

15 years from now, very hard to say. It's possible.

40 or 50 years from now, I'm more inclined to say it's likely.
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<snip> That may happen IF and ONLY IF the modern fiat currency world does not collapse. If it does, only hell know how many centuries it will take for us to regain today's level of technology, the RIGHT WAY.

Without writing a whole book out for you in this thread, there is going to have to be a way to compensate the biotech engineers in the absence of Federal Reserve Notes (because the world will finally be fed up with them and start demanding real money).
 
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