Ex-Xbox man predicts death of consoles

XBGMER · 03-28-2008, 09:18 PM

Sandy Duncan, the former boss of Xbox Europe, has said he believes consoles will disappear very soon as everything gets "virtualised".

Speaking to ThatVideoGameBlog Duncan said, "The industry is fundamentally driven by technology. I think dedicated games devices, i.e. consoles and handhelds, will die [out] in the next five to ten years."

Duncan was with Microsoft for 15 years before leaving to co-found YoYo Games. Having established the Xbox business in Europe he knows a few things about launching new hardware, and observed there are huge risks involved. He predicted that as companies attempt to reduce these, there will be "a definite 'convergence' of other devices such as set-top boxes".

"There's hardly any technology difference between some hard disc video recorders and an Xbox 360, for example," Duncan stated.

"In fact in five to ten years I don’t think you’ll have any box at all under your TV; most of this stuff will be "virtualised" as web services by your content provider."

Source

XBGMER · 03-28-2008, 09:20 PM

To me, Yes I believe this man's predict will fulfill!

Banjo · 03-28-2008, 09:25 PM

Well, if we are talking about digital downloads... then no, I don't see it happening within 5 years. You can download small games and demos, but what people don't realize is that most internet providers put a cap on how much bandwidth you can use per month. Many cap their connections at approximately 30GB to 60GB per month. So if a full game like Final Fantasy being at 20GB to 50GB in 5 years... ain't happening. You would have to buy it on physical media.

Metal Gear Solid 4 for PS3 is going onto a 50GB disc and never will be released onto Xbox 360 or any other consoles because of storage and technical issues. Many games on DVD are already heavily compressed compromising the overall quality of gaming experience. That's why a lot of games don't last longer than 10 - 15 hours, it's because they can't fit any more onto a 9.4GB DVD.

***VamPyroX*** · 03-29-2008, 03:04 AM

I saw a commercial for the Playstation X. Looked awesome!

Seriously, anything could happen... but I doubt video game consoles will die out.

Pacman · 03-29-2008, 08:22 AM

Xbox is completely legacy and Gamecube is about 98% legacy but PS2 is still running on market right now, it should be about 50% legacy now.

XBGMER · 03-29-2008, 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VamPyroX

I saw a commercial for the Playstation X. Looked awesome!

Seriously, anything could happen... but I doubt video game consoles will die out.

I havent see "Playstation X" on tv commerical! Mm..

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pacman

Xbox is completely legacy and Gamecube is about 98% legacy but PS2 is still running on market right now, it should be about 50% legacy now.

You are correct. Look at SNS, ATARI, Sega are gone. PC-Gaming WON'T dead and gone in years! I guess the Gaming PC is winner

But I doubt about game handhelds, will die out around the next five to ten years. Look GB did not die out yet. PSP is still powerful handheld since 2005 PSP released.

***VamPyroX*** · 03-30-2008, 12:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by XBGMER

I havent see "Playstation X" on tv commerical! Mm..

You are correct. Look at SNS, ATARI, Sega are gone. PC-Gaming WON'T dead and gone in years! I guess the Gaming PC is winner

But I doubt about game handhelds, will die out around the next five to ten years. Look GB did not die out yet. PSP is still powerful handheld since 2005 PSP released.

I saw the commercial for the Playstation X a few years ago. It was not a real commercial, but done in a way to point out how the future might be in video gaming.

What happened was this guy was in a world where he was doing real action, shooting, fighting, running, thinking, etc... then everything zoomed away... until you see the camera zoom out of the player's eye... as he looks away from his new Playstation X.

It was a way of saying, the Playstation X could be the future where it takes you into a new world of gaming where you are actually involved in your games.

***VamPyroX*** · 03-30-2008, 12:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VamPyroX

I saw the commercial for the Playstation X a few years ago. It was not a real commercial, but done in a way to point out how the future might be in video gaming.

What happened was this guy was in a world where he was doing real action, shooting, fighting, running, thinking, etc... then everything zoomed away... until you see the camera zoom out of the player's eye... as he looks away from his new Playstation X.

It was a way of saying, the Playstation X could be the future where it takes you into a new world of gaming where you are actually involved in your games.

Sorry, after looking around... I realized that I was off a tiny bit. It's not "Playstation X". It's actually "Playstation 9".

Here's the commercial...

Pacman · 03-30-2008, 07:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by XBGMER

I havent see "Playstation X" on tv commerical! Mm..

You are correct. Look at SNS, ATARI, Sega are gone. PC-Gaming WON'T dead and gone in years! I guess the Gaming PC is winner

But I doubt about game handhelds, will die out around the next five to ten years. Look GB did not die out yet. PSP is still powerful handheld since 2005 PSP released.

GBA is nearly completely legacy now since DS is replaced GBA, I haven't find out about next gen of PSP.

GB is usually live about up to 10 years but no compare to console because Nintendo kept redesign and other thing like that.

Twelphe · 03-30-2008, 09:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VamPyroX

Sorry, after looking around... I realized that I was off a tiny bit. It's not "Playstation X". It's actually "Playstation 9".

Here's the commercial...

Quote:

sony playstation in year 2078
the future of gaming (more)

Maybe you've missed it but... nah its not real.

***VamPyroX*** · 03-30-2008, 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Twelphe

Maybe you've missed it but... nah its not real.

I know it's not real. I was simply pointing out that anything could happen in the future.

Look at my previous post before that one. I said I knew it wasn't real.

03-28-2008, 09:18 PM	#1 (permalink)
XBGMER HARDCORE Join Date: Apr 2003 Location: Coast to Coast Posts: 3,291	Ex-Xbox man predicts death of consoles Sandy Duncan, the former boss of Xbox Europe, has said he believes consoles will disappear very soon as everything gets "virtualised". Speaking to ThatVideoGameBlog Duncan said, "The industry is fundamentally driven by technology. I think dedicated games devices, i.e. consoles and handhelds, will die [out] in the next five to ten years." Duncan was with Microsoft for 15 years before leaving to co-found YoYo Games. Having established the Xbox business in Europe he knows a few things about launching new hardware, and observed there are huge risks involved. He predicted that as companies attempt to reduce these, there will be "a definite 'convergence' of other devices such as set-top boxes". "There's hardly any technology difference between some hard disc video recorders and an Xbox 360, for example," Duncan stated. "In fact in five to ten years I don’t think you’ll have any box at all under your TV; most of this stuff will be "virtualised" as web services by your content provider." Source __________________ • BLKBRY TECH • SWITCH TO SAFARI •

03-28-2008, 09:20 PM	#2 (permalink)
XBGMER HARDCORE Join Date: Apr 2003 Location: Coast to Coast Posts: 3,291	To me, Yes I believe this man's predict will fulfill! __________________ • BLKBRY TECH • SWITCH TO SAFARI •

03-29-2008, 03:04 AM	#4 (permalink)
*VamPyroX* bloody phreak from hell Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: Hell Posts: 26,603	I saw a commercial for the Playstation X. Looked awesome! Seriously, anything could happen... but I doubt video game consoles will die out. __________________ Check out my city... CLICK HERE! (If you already visited yesterday, visit again today!)

03-29-2008, 08:22 AM	#5 (permalink)
Pacman o_O Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 12,874	Xbox is completely legacy and Gamecube is about 98% legacy but PS2 is still running on market right now, it should be about 50% legacy now. __________________ Oh damn, don't mess with me

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03-28-2008, 09:25 PM	#3 (permalink)
Banjo Mr. Movie Guy Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Ontario, Canada Posts: 4,895 Blog Entries: 1	Well, if we are talking about digital downloads... then no, I don't see it happening within 5 years. You can download small games and demos, but what people don't realize is that most internet providers put a cap on how much bandwidth you can use per month. Many cap their connections at approximately 30GB to 60GB per month. So if a full game like Final Fantasy being at 20GB to 50GB in 5 years... ain't happening. You would have to buy it on physical media. Metal Gear Solid 4 for PS3 is going onto a 50GB disc and never will be released onto Xbox 360 or any other consoles because of storage and technical issues. Many games on DVD are already heavily compressed compromising the overall quality of gaming experience. That's why a lot of games don't last longer than 10 - 15 hours, it's because they can't fit any more onto a 9.4GB DVD.